Exaggerated exodus: Covid didn’t scramble people’s migration patterns

first_img Share on FacebookShare on TwitterShare on LinkedinShare via Email Share via Shortlink Email Address* Full Name* “In many ways, the fundamentals in the data show that Austin is the next Austin,” CBRE research director Eric Willett told the paper.Net out-migration, where more people leave than arrive, accelerated most in big cities including New York, San Francisco, Seattle and Boston. The greatest beneficiaries of that were metro areas surrounding big cities, where people can find more affordable real estate but still be within driving distance of downtowns.However, the influx of people coming to New York City is expected to outpace those who jump ship this month, according to a report by real estate consultant Nancy Packes Data Services and Eastdil Secured. The gap between the number of households changing their address to a zip code outside the city versus moving into the city has gradually decreased since May 2020.[NYT] — Orion JonesContact Orion Jones Tags Message* The report of the death of cities was an exaggeration, an analysis of 30 million change-of-address forms shows. (iStock)Cities won’t become post-apocalyptic graveyards and work-from-home urbanites won’t revive rural America.While many people moved away from New York City and San Francisco during the pandemic, migration patterns largely remained the same as before, according to an analysis by the New York Times. The analysis was based on the 30 million change-of-address requests made in 2020 to the U.S. Postal Service.Some smaller regional metros and vacation markets saw more residents come in. Still, metros like those in the Sun Belt that were gaining residents pre-pandemic saw gains; those in upstate New York and the Midwest continued to lose migrants.Read moreExodus over? NYC expected to turn corner in April Cities dying? Suburbs booming? Data don’t show it Marcus & Millichap CEO predicts “exodus” from cities to last two years Share via Shortlink Housing MarketRental MarketResidential Real EstateSan Franciscolast_img read more

Breakup and conditions for stability of the northern Larsen Ice Shelf, Antarctica

first_imgThe breakup of ice shelves has been widely regarded as an indicator of climate change1, with observations around the Antarctic Peninsula having shown a pattern of gradual retreat, associated with regional atmospheric warming and increased summer melt and fracturing processes2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9. The rapid collapse of the northernmost section of the Larsen Ice Shelf (Larsen A), over a few days in January 1995, indicated that, after retreat beyond a critical limit, ice shelves may disintegrate rapidly. Here we use a finite-element numerical model that treats ice as a continuum without fracture10 to examine the breakup history2 between 1986 and 1997 of the two northern sections of Larsen Ice Shelf (Larsen A and Larsen B), from which we establish stability criteria for ice shelves. Analysis of various ice-shelf configurations reveals characteristic patterns in the strain rates near the ice front which we use to describe the stability of the ice shelf. On Larsen A, only the initial and final ice-front configurations show a stable pattern. Larsen B at present exhibits a stable pattern, but if the ice front were to retreat by a further few kilometres, it too is likely to enter an irreversible retreat phase.last_img read more

Using super-high resolution satellite imagery to census threatened albatrosses

first_imgThis study is the first to utilize 30-cm resolution imagery from the WorldView-3 (WV-3) satellite to count wildlife directly. We test the accuracy of the satellite method for directly counting individuals at a well-studied colony of Wandering Albatross Diomedea exulans at South Georgia, and then apply it to the closely related Northern Royal Albatross Diomedea sanfordi, which is near-endemic to the Chatham Islands and of unknown recent population status due to the remoteness and limited accessibility of the colonies. At South Georgia, satellite-based counts were comparable to ground-based counts of Wandering Albatross nests, with a slight over-estimation due to the presence of non-breeding birds. In the Chatham Islands, satellite-based counts of Northern Royal Albatross in the 2015/2016 season were similar to ground-based counts undertaken on the Forty-Fours islands in 2009/2010, but much lower than ground-based counts undertaken on The Sisters islands in 2009/2010, which is of major conservation concern for this endangered albatross species. We conclude that the ground-breaking resolution of the newly available WV-3 satellite will provide a step change in our ability to count albatrosses and other large birds directly from space without disturbance, at potentially lower cost and with minimal logistical effort.last_img read more

Links between bacteria derived from penguin guts and deposited guano and the surrounding soil microbiota

first_imgPenguins are an important indicator of marine ecosystem health and a major contributor of nutrients to terrestrial ecosystems in Antarctica. Their stomach microbiota is influenced by both the prey consumed and their foraging environment in the sea. As penguins feed at sea and breed on land, they might be expected to transfer microbes (e.g. prey-associated and marine bacteria) as well as nutrients from their stomachs while regurgitating food or in their guano to the surrounding terrestrial environment. However, most research attention to date has focused separately on the penguin gut microbiota (via cloacal/guano samples) and the terrestrial soil microbiota, and any relationship between them has yet to be established. Here, we analysed the bacterial communities in stomach regurgitates and cloacal swabs from the same individual birds, freshly deposited guano and rookery soils of two Pygoscelis penguins that breed sympatrically on Signy Island (South Orkney Islands, maritime Antarctic) using a high-throughput DNA sequencing method. Our data do not support the hypothesis that bacteria transferred from penguin guts and/or deposited guano make a significant contribution to the communities of the surrounding terrestrial microbial ecosystem. In both penguin species, composition of bacterial communities differed between the four sample types, with Jaccard similarities ranging between 10 and 36%. Assemblages of the dominant and co-occurring bacterial communities in rookery soils were either significantly negatively correlated or not correlated with the three other sample types. Sample-specific communities were also identified in this study, contributing around 63% of the identified diversity overall.last_img read more

Clegg under fire within and without

first_imgAs thousands of students marched on the streets of Westminster, heated exchanges about hiked tuition fees and education cuts were also taking place within the House of Commons. During Prime Minister’s Questions, Nick Clegg’s U-turn in his policy on tuition fees came under fire from Harriet Harman. The Deputy Leader of the Labour Party was met with applause and laughter when she said, “During the election [Mr Clegg] promised to abolish tuition fees. Can he update the House on how it’s going?”When Mr Clegg told Ms Harman that there was a “consensus” across the parties about the need to reform university funding, Ms Harman hit back, saying, “None of us agree with tuition fees of £9,000 a year.” She suggested Mr Clegg had been “led astray” by the Conservatives, who had plans “to shove the cost of higher education on to students and their families”.But Mr Clegg said the government had come up with a “fair and progressive solution to a very difficult problem”. He said the Lib Dems had to change policy because of the financial situation and compromises made in the coalition agreement.Mr Clegg added, “This is an extraordinarily difficult issue and I have been entirely open about the fact that we have not been able to deliver the policy that we held in opposition.” The Lib Dems had made a pledge before the general election that they would not raise tuition fees and would fight all attempts to increase them. However, since entering government as the coalition partner of the Conservative party, leading members of the Lib Dems now support the proposed fee rises. Much of the student anger at the London demonstration was directed towards Nick Clegg. As well as storming the Conservative headquarters, hundreds of students swarmed outside the Lib Dem offices. Crowds gathered around a large fire, as students sung “Build a bonfire, build a bonfire, put the Tories on the top; Put the Lib Dems in the middle, and we’ll burn the f***ing lot”. Throughout the London protests students chanted, “Nick Clegg shame on you, shame on you for turning blue.”Many protesters expressed their frustration and disillusionment with the democratic process after the Lib Dems’ policy changes regarding higher education. Kate Halls, a fourth year Arabic and Hebrew student at Wadham, said, “We know that politely filing past Parliament to ask for favours will get us nowhere: the only way to achieve change is to make for the locus of power and start taking it apart. Only thus will we convince the hypocrites and thieves running our country that we are a force to be reckoned with.”Patrick Fleming, a second year Oxford PPEist, said, “The claim that yesterday’s protest was spoilt by the scenes at Millbank is premised upon a naive trust in the workings of democracy. There is no channel for genuine debate of ideas, no prospect for government to listen its electorate, and crucially, no accountability between (or even at) elections. “The violence was a rational expression of rage from citizens who have been tricked, ignored and sidelined time and again. There is no other channel which grants us the opportunity to express the extent of our frustration and alienation. We had to fight, and so we fought.”last_img read more

IS IT TRUE FEBRUARY 15, 2017

first_imgFacebookTwitterCopy LinkEmailShare IS IT TRUE that hearts were on fire in downtown Evansville on this Valentine’s Day inspired by the opening of the new Hilton Doubletree Inn?…this hotel has been a long time coming and today was a day for the beautiful people to give each other congratulatory hugs and sip martinis together?…it has only been 9 years since former Mayor Jonathan Weinzapfel proclaimed that a JW Marriot would be built with no public incentive by one of his buddies from Indianapolis?…it has only been 8 years since the wheels came off off that bus?…another suitor came forward and didn’t deliver in 2011, followed by yet another wannabe hotelier the following year that got off of the hook?…finally at long last with a larger than expected handout for a shorter than expected hotel, the keys are finally turning?…we are curious to see if prosperity spreads like a bad cold now that there is another hotel in downtown Evansville?IS IT TRUE yesterday it was stated during a Channel 25 TV news story that the per night rooms rates will be between $130 to $250 per room?  …we hope that Hilton Doubletree Inn Developer and CEO will have a lot of wiggle room concerning room rates so they can be competitive with other well established local Motels and Hotels?IS IT TRUE we are puzzled why the Director of Gage wasn’t present at the new Hilton Doubletree Inn ribbon cutting event?  …we were just told that the most recent Director of Gage is no longer employed by them? …if this information is correct we wonder why he is no longer employed by Gage? …we hope our information is incorrect because we heard that he was doing and outstanding job as Director of Gage?IS IT TRUE when it comes to telling people things were going to Happen and then pulling the old bait and switch, the last two mayors of Evansville are masters of the art?…former Mayor Jonathan Weinzapfel was famous for promising things would happen without a public handout and then seeing his promises vanish into thin air? …Weinzapfel saw both the 4 Star downtown hotel and the McCurdy Hotel vaporize before his very eyes?…Weinzapfel had big dreams that just never happened?…the one dream that happens picks the taxpayers pockets every year for $8Million in bond payments for the Ford Center?IS IT TRUE that Mayor Winnecke on the other hand has seemly made a political career out of making capital projects happen by paying twice as many taxpayer dollars for half of the projects he has promised (new Downtown Doubletree Hotel and the IU Medical school)?…that is from the bait and switch playbook too but at least the people of Evansville see something for their money?…the common theme is that public project always comes up short when this individual is in charge in spending our hard earned tax dollars?IS IT TRUE we wonder when Evansville Mayor Winnecke and Ivy Tech-Evansville Chancellor Jonathan Wienzapfel are going to publicly demand that soon to be built IU Medical School will include Ivy Tech 1,500 Medical Tech schools in their plans?  …that the taxpayers Evansville pledged $57 million dollars to insure that the new Downtown IU Medical School will house programs from the IU School of Medicine and the IU School of Dentistry, as well as Ivy Tech Community College,  the University of Southern Indiana and the University of Evansville?  …could this be called a breach of contract and also a breach of the public trust?IS IT TRUE we hear that deficit amount transferred from the 2016 Employee Healthcare program could be several millions of dollars? …it’s been alleged that that the City Controlled during the last week of February quietly transferred around $4 million dollars in the City Employee Healthcare account to pay off some of the  past due medical bills?  …we wonder where he got the $4 million dollars to pay down the past due medical bills?…we are now hearing that the as of today total deficit for 2017 Employee Healthcare program could be between $4 to $6 million of dollars?    …we are also hearing that around 150 city  employees have been sued because of non payment of healthcare bills?…we wonder where the City of Evansville are going to find the money to bring the Employee Healthcare program payment current?IS IT TRUE that DMD purchased two lots located behind Gelhausen Paint on West Iowa street for the grand total $63,000.00 in exchange for letting the public park there on the finished paved parking lot during the week? …that DMD recently finished one lot into a first class paved public lot really used by the general public?   …the other lot had a dilapidated house on it and  was razed buy the City?  …we were to told the total investment for this project for purchasing two lots with one dilapidated home, razing home and turn one lot into first class paved public lot has costs the taxpayers well over additional $100,000?last_img read more

BREAKING NEWS: STATE BOARD OF ACCOUNTS CITY OF EVANSVILLE 2014 FINANCIAL COMPLIANCE AUDIT

first_imgSTATE BOARD OF ACCOUNTS CITY OF EVANSVILLE 2014 FINANCIAL COMPLIANCE AUDIThttp://www.in.gov/sboa/WebReports/B45886.pdfPLEASE TAKE YOUR TIME AND READ THIS AUDIT BECAUSE IT WILL GIVE YOU A CLEAR PICTURE HOW MAYOR WINNECKE  AND HIS CITY CONTROLLER HANDLED OUR TAX DOLLARS.AUDIT QUICK VIEWPLEASE GO TO Page 50 of the audit report. City cash and investment fund balances, including Water and Wastewater funds, were not properly reconciled to bank balances for all twelve months of 2014.FOOTNOTE: Our next “IS IT TRUE” will be posted on this coming Monday?If you would like to advertise in the CCO please contact us City-County [email protected] “Readers Poll” question is: Do you believe that City officials intentionally lied to us about not having a $6 million dollar deficit in 2014?Copyright 2015 City County Observer. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten or redistributedFacebookTwitterCopy LinkEmailSharelast_img read more

Speech: British High Commissioner addresses opening of exhibition dedicated to WWII veterans

first_imgMr. President,Dear Veterans,Mr. General Secretary,Mr. Ambassador,Your excellencies,Ladies and Gentlemen,Good evening.Last November the world marked the centenary of the end of the First World War. The Great War was supposed to be the war to end all wars. But less than 21 years later, Europe was at war again, and in September this year we will commemorate the 80th anniversary of the outbreak of World War II.While not a battleground in either of the Wars, Cyprus contributed significantly to the allied effort. Yet in many ways, Cyprus’s role in the two wars is an untold story.The greatest contribution of Cyprus to the First World War was in the form of the Cyprus Mule Corp. Between 13,000 and 16,000 volunteer muleteers, Greek and Turkish speaking, served with the British army on the Macedonian Front.In the Second World War, Cypriots fought side by side with forces from across the Commonwealth and the allies. Some 20,000 Cypriots from all communities of the island – Greek, Turkish, Armenian, Maronite and Latin – volunteered with the Armed Forces, while another 10,000 Cypriots living in the UK, Australia and US enlisted for service in those countries. Best known among the Cypriot volunteer forces was the Cyprus Regiment, founded on 12 April 1940, and celebrating its 79th anniversary this Friday. And not only Cypriot men joined the allied cause; Cypriot women participated in the Women’s Auxiliary Territorial Service and Women’s Auxiliary Air Force.Members of the Cyprus Regiment saw service not only in Greece, but also France, Italy the Middle East and North Africa. Some 600 men were killed in action, and are buried in 56 cemetries in 16 countries.Yet for me one of the most inspiring moments as High Commissioner was to attend the Mayor of Nicosia’s Remembrance Day event in November, and to meet and thank the Cyprus WW2 veterans present. It is wonderful to have veterans among us again tonight. Theirs are the living faces of Cyprus in WW2. We owe a great debt to them and the other Cyprus volunteers for their contribution to the allied cause. They fought for the cause of freedom and they were part of the victory over fascism in Europe. Regrettably, the adherents of fascism were to make their presence felt again in Cyprus, with tragic consequences for the people of this island.Strangely these facts are not well known to ordinary Cypriots. References to Cyprus’ contributions in the World Wars in the public schools’ curriculum are limited and certainly not sufficient. I wonder how many Cypriots have visited the memorials to the fallen erected in Nicosia, Paphos and Larnaca by the Cyprus Veterans’ Association of WWII?“1940: Faces & Images” is a positive step towards raising the profile of Cyprus in the World Wars. I welcome the fact that this exhibition includes participation from the Imperial War Museum and that a smaller part of it will travel to the National Army Museum in London, bringing the stories of UK-Cyprus co-operation in the Great Wars to the attention of the broader public in both our countries. These testimonies of historic co-operation form an important part of our bilateral links and the history that binds our nations together.The High Commission is pleased to be working with the Bank of Cyprus Cultural Foundation on some side events to the exhibition in the coming months which will further tell the stories of the Great Wars.Learning about and from the past is important for every nation. Cyprus has a number of impressive stories to tell from this part of its history: of communities working together side by side for the common good; defending freedom; and providing protection to those in need; and industriousness. Such values are as important today as in the past and central to Cyprus’s modern role and vocation as a pillar of stability and European values in the Eastern Mediterranean region.I congratulate the Bank of Cyprus Foundation for its initiative to hold this Exhibition and like all of you, I look forward to learning more from it.Thank you and a very good evening.last_img read more

Signs of progress against PTSD

first_imgA decade after the start of the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, studies have shown that the incidence of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) among troops is surprisingly low. A Harvard researcher credits the numbers, in part, to efforts by the Army to prevent PTSD, and to ensure that those who develop the disorder receive the best treatment available.In an article in the May 18 issue of Science, Professor of Psychology Richard J. McNally says there is reason for cautious optimism when it comes to the prevalence of PTSD. While early estimates suggested that as many as 30 percent of all troops might develop the condition, current surveys show the actual rates ranging from 2.1 percent to 13.8 percent. The U.S. Millennium survey of U.S. troops found that 4.3 percent of all American military personnel deployed to Iraq and Afghanistan have developed PTSD.“As a society we’re much more aware of these issues than ever before,” McNally said. “That is reflected by the fact that the military and the Department of Veterans Affairs have established programs to ensure soldiers receive the best treatment possible. The title of my article is ‘Are We Winning the War Against Post-Traumatic Stress Disorder?’ I think a provisional answer to that is, ‘Yes, we might be.’”When asked about concerns among some veterans and counselors that PTSD is underreported, McNally said: “Estimates of PTSD are higher when surveys are anonymous than when they are not anonymous. Lack of anonymity is the chief limitation of the otherwise excellent U.S. Millennium survey, which found a rate of 7.6 percent among U.S. combat troops. By comparison, an off-the-record survey by Hoge et al. found that the rate of PTSD was 12.6 percent in combat units. On the other hand, the Hoge et al. study was much smaller, did not have random sampling, and it did not exclude subjects with predeployment PTSD symptoms.”While part of the drop in PTSD may simply be that wars are less lethal — in a decade of war in Iraq, fewer than 5,000 American troops were killed, compared with more than 55,000 over a similar period in Vietnam — McNally thinks that new efforts by the Army to tackle the disorder sooner, and ensure soldiers receive better treatment, may be yielding results.The suggestion that 30 percent of troops might develop PTSD was based on the findings of the National Vietnam Veterans Readjustment Study (NVVRS), completed in 1990, which found that 30.9 percent of Vietnam veterans showed symptoms of the PTSD. While later analyses brought that number down, the findings served to galvanize Army efforts to address the risk of soldiers developing the condition, McNally said.“It’s important to remember that simply being deployed carries a great deal of stress,” McNally said. “Soldiers miss their family, and those who stay at home essentially become a one-parent family. Difficulties with children, or school, or making ends meet — there are all kinds of stressors that have to do with separating families, let alone having one member in a war zone. Fortunately, the military has taken steps to help soldiers cope with these stressors in addition to the traumatic combat stressors that can produce PTSD.”Those steps include the Comprehensive Soldier Fitness (CSF) program and Battlemind training, programs created, respectively, to help soldiers reduce their risk for PTSD before being deployed, and to treat those at risk of developing it after they return.“It’s not therapy per se, but a preventive intervention to help people put their experiences in perspective,” McNally said of the Battlemind training. “For example, it encourages soldiers to use the sort of emotional bonding that happens within units to reconnect with their families, and to see symptoms like hypervigilance not as symptoms of a mental disorder, but as something they need to adjust when they come home. It helps people realize that those things are part of the normal re-adjustment process.”The results of random trials show that, four months after returning home, soldiers who underwent Battlemind training had fewer symptoms of PTSD and depression than did those who underwent the Army’s standard postdeployment program. Such trials have been conducted with CSF, so it remains unclear what impact, if any, it has on the incidence of PTSD.Despite such efforts, PTSD remains a serious issue among veterans and their families. Treatments developed in the past 20 years — including prolonged exposure and cognitive processing therapy — improve the chances of recovery.“These treatments weren’t available to veterans of the Vietnam War – they were only developed in the 1990s – and the evidence shows that the longer you have PTSD, the more likely it is that other problems will accumulate,” said McNally. “The earlier we can get people into treatment, the quicker we can help them get their lives back together.”last_img read more

We’re moving…to Windows 10!

first_imgBy the end of 2017, the client PCs of all 138,000 employees who are part of Dell Technologies companies, plus all the locked and automated PCs that support our business, will be using the latest operating system from Microsoft. We’d like to suggest that all our customers consider making the move sooner rather than later, too.Our Windows 10 migration is a big move for us, just as it will be for any organization our size and even for much smaller enterprises. But our own digital transformation demanded it. Even more, we owe it to our customers that we migrate ourselves before they are forced to do so when Microsoft ends Windows 7 support in 2020. That’s because we want to be able to share our experience and knowledge to help them migrate as smoothly and effectively as possible.Windows 10: Three core enhancements  What do you gain by moving your own organization to Windows 10? For starters, you’ll be able to take advantage of three core Windows enhancements: strengthened security, new productivity features, and an update model that can save IT time and effort. More specifically:Security: Windows 10 delivers a much stronger security model built on a foundation of 64-bit Unified Extensible Firmware Interface (UEFI) Secure Boot. This model includes advanced security measures, such as Credential Guard and Device Guard, both of which we are implementing. The first will help us protect against pass-the-hash attacks, and the second will help us eliminate exploits, viruses and malware.Productivity: Many of your employees may already be using Windows 10 at home, just as ours are, and they are familiar with its many user enhancements, such as the new Start menu, an improved Windows Explorer and Cortana. This familiarity means that workplace adoption will be easier. Additional user-focused enhancements like Continuum and Windows Hello make the new OS more attractive to many more worker profiles across a typical large organization.Currency: Windows 10 introduces the Windows-as-a-service (WaaS) delivery model, which provides the latest features and functionality via monthly updates and semi-annual upgrades, enabling IT to plan better. Windows 10 remote and self-install functions make it much faster and more efficient to deploy. This not only improves the user experience, but also can cut IT’s time and expense by reducing or eliminating desk visits and having to physically engage user devices.Key benefits that can kick your digital transformation into high gear With these enhancements, Windows 10 can help you accelerate your organization’s digital transformation into one that’s eve faster, more efficient and more responsive. And Windows 10 has three ways to help you and your IT team members in this journey.First, it’s business-ready, with the WaaS model that enables enterprises to validate and test applications, update security, and add new features and upgrades more often.Second, Windows 10 is always current. By making updates (i.e., patches) cumulative and an all-or-nothing proposition, Microsoft standardizes the OS base of its customers to a common configuration. This helps ensure business continuity while also support faster innovation in business applications.Third, Windows 10 provides major upgrades twice a year, so enterprises can count on the number of Current Branch for Business (CBB) configurations at any one time to be just two — current and upcoming. This reduces triage and troubleshooting for IT, while boosting security.A sensible approach: What worked for usAt Dell EMC, we took a three-phased approach that we suggest other organizations adopt: prepare your infrastructure, application validation and testing, and migrate your users and client base in steps.Phase 1: Prepare infrastructure. We evaluated our infrastructure as a whole and assessed our group strategies to streamline policy creation and our testing processes. We’re using the Microsoft Deployment Toolkit with Windows Server Update Services to create our reference images. Also, we’ve followed Microsoft guidelines for Configuration Manager versions in support of Windows as a service, beginning with System Center Configuration Manager Build 1511. More info.Phase 2: Application validation and testing. With its cumulative “always current” updates and tight timeline between releases, Dell EMC chose to use Windows 10 Current Branch for Business as the edition for most of our application deployment scenarios. Of course, your situation may be different, so consider the two other Windows 10 editions, Current Branch and Long-Term Servicing Branch, to determine what’s best for you. More info.Phase 3: Migrate users/clients. In this phase, we’ve taken deployment approach for Windows 10 along three different paths to standardization: new hires and refreshes, wipe and reloads, and upgrades. The first is the easiest. The second involves anyone with technical issues. The third is the most challenging, with the far greatest numbers of users. But using Configuration Manager, we continually review and level-up clients with background updates, so they are ready to upgrade to Windows 10. More info.Getting StartedIf you need help with your organization’s Windows 10 migration, we invite you to learn more about how Dell EMC can provide Windows 10 migration assistance. Also, check out our CIO Scott Pittman’s blog for much greater detail on Dell EMC’s Windows 10 migration than we can provide here.Lastly, we’ve also have permission to share an extremely valuable Gartner report, Optimize Your Cost to Migrate to Windows 10 Using Gartner’s Cost Model. It explains the key determinants to Windows 10 migration costs that you should be aware of, as well as some recommendations to consider.last_img read more